Aviation Forecast Discussions Data
Select Site:

(EXTRACTED FROM FXUS63 KMPX 231045)


    (For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday morning)
    Issued at 545 AM CDT Wed May 23 2018
    
    Main concern is whether the complex of thunderstorms in
    southwest/south central Minnesota expand further to the northeast
    and affect east central/southeast Minnesota before 18z. Based on
    current trends of radar and some uncertainty on how far these
    storms move to the northeast, will keep KRWF/KMKT in VCTS through
    14z. Elsewhere, confidence is high that most of the activity will
    dissipate before 18z. Winds will be generally from the southeast
    with some gusts in the afternoon. Morning dense fog at KEAU should
    dissipate after 14z. Only a small chance of redevelopment of
    thunderstorms this evening in central/east central Minnesota. Will
    continue the trend of VFR conditions and only PROB30 at KAXN.
    
    KMSP...
    
    Confidence is low on any thunderstorms affecting the terminal this
    morning. However, some uncertainty remains, so kept VCTS between
    14-16z when the best chance of any storms in the southwest drift
    over east central Minnesota. Otherwise, VFR conditions with low
    chance of any redevelopment of thunderstorms this afternoon or
    evening.
    
    /OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
    
    THU...Mainly VFR with ISOLD TSRA. Best Chc late. Wind S 10 kts.
    FRI...Mainly VFR Chc of SHRA/TSRA. Wind SW 5-10 kts.
    SAT...VFR. Wind WSW 5-10 kts.