(EXTRACTED FROM FXUS63 KDTX 262333)
Surface ridge with distinct anticyclonic vorticity advection episode
over Southeast Michigan this evening continues to lead to low sky
fraction. High static stability remains in place between 9.0 and 18.0
kft agl. A somewhat noisy solution space exists with regards to
convective development overnight near the Ohio border. Old convective
shortwave energy is expected to push into the state which will help
in eroding the stability aloft. Low confidence exists in any shower
or thunderstorm development impacting Lenawee or Monroe counties
tonight due to very aggressive anticyclonic flow trajectories. Strong
signal then exists for strong subsidence with amplifying
anticyclonic wave break folding down into Southeast Michigan
Thursday. VFR weather anticipated throughout the day Thursday. Ridge
riding MCS system to remain across portions of northern WI and U.P.
through Thursday evening.
For DTW...VFR weather tonight and Thursday. Very low confidence
exists in thunderstorm development south of DTW or south of Ohio
state line overnight.
02:32 UTC |
07:32 PM Pacific |
08:32 PM Mountain |
09:32 PM Central |
10:32 PM Eastern