Aviation Forecasts Discussions (AFD) INFO

(EXTRACTED FROM FXUS61 KBOX 191456)


    Forecaster Confidence Levels...
    
    Low - less than 30 percent.
    Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
    High - greater than 60 percent.
    
    Short Term /through Tonight/...
    
    955 AM Update...
    
    MVFR with localized IFR in showers RI/SE MA will improve around
    midday as showers exit the region. Otherwise, improving
    conditions to VFR from west to east as the cold front exits the
    region. The only exception may be in the hills of western MA/CT
    where MVFR is possible behind the front. Post frontal W/NW
    gusts to 40 kt through the afternoon.
    
    Tonight...
    
    VFR CIGS SCT-BKN040 with possible -SHSN from Lake Effect snow
    showers coming across NY state into western MA/CT and possibly
    RI. WNW winds will remain gusty up to 35 kt.
    
    KBOS Terminal...
    MVFR with periods of showers, embedded heavier downpours thru
    about 16z. SSW winds may briefly gusts up to 40 kt in the
    heavier showers. LLWS til 16z then becoming VFR as a cold front
    sweeps across the terminal with a wind shift from SSW to WNW
    with gusts up to 40 kt.
    
    KBDL Terminal...
    Mainly IFR but trending toward MVFR. Periods of showers with
    locally heavy downpours. Light winds becoming SSW toward
    daybreak. Although winds may become gusty in heavier showers.
    Strong cold frontal passage around 15z with wind shift from SSW
    to WNW. MVFR improving to VFR with the wind shift.
    
    Outlook /Monday through Thursday/...
    
    Monday: VFR. Windy with gusts to 35 kt.
    
    Monday Night through Tuesday: VFR. Windy with gusts to 30 kt.
    
    Tuesday Night: VFR. Windy with local gusts to 30 kt. Chance
    SHRA.
    
    Wednesday: VFR. Chance SHRA.
    
    Wednesday Night: VFR. Breezy.
    
    Thanksgiving Day: VFR.